Beyond Search: LLM Adoption and Web Traffic Concentration
Best Student Paper Award, WISE 2025
with Samira Gholami, Cristobal Cheyre, and Alessandro Acquisti
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This paper studies how the diffusion of large language models (LLMs) as consumer-facing
information intermediaries reshapes web traffic allocation and market concentration.
Using large-scale behavioral data, we document substitution patterns between traditional
search engines, LLM-based interfaces, and downstream content providers, and show that LLM
adoption alters referral flows and concentrates attention away from the open web, with
heterogeneous effects across content categories. The results speak to ongoing antitrust and
platform-governance debates around AI-driven intermediaries.
Advertising, Personalization and Search Costs
Accepted, ISMS Marketing Science Conference 2026
with Cristobal Cheyre and Alessandro Acquisti
Using a large-scale online field experiment with detailed browsing and ad-exposure data,
this project studies how personalized advertising affects consumer search costs, consideration
sets, and downstream purchases. We quantify how targeted and contextual ads change search
intensity and navigation behavior, shedding light on the dual role of advertising as both an
informational device and a potential distortion in consumer decision-making, with implications
for industrial organization, consumer protection, and advertising regulation.
Cursed by the Algorithm: Cue-Triggered Consumption and Platform Recommendation
Solo-authored
SSRN
I study an intermediary that learns what to offer an agent from what she takes up, when
take-up is sometimes cue-triggered rather than deliberate. The leading case is an
engagement-maximizing recommender serving users who may enter a "hot" state in which one
content category is transiently overvalued. The platform observes consumption but not the
cognitive state, so compulsion and genuine preference are observationally equivalent at the
margin on which it acts, and its cursed learning concentrates triggering content on the users
it harms. Standard users converge to the first best. Vulnerable users spiral into
disengagement; from small initial vulnerability the spiral ignites if and only if the
trigger's genuine weight in preferences is high enough, independently of the strength of the
craving, and the welfare loss is hump-shaped in that weight, so the users harmed most have a
mild genuine interest in the triggering content. The equilibrium is Pareto-dominated: an
informed platform would hold back and earn more. Content caps and minimum-diversity floors on
feed composition, applied uniformly, raise welfare without identifying who is vulnerable. When
take-up carries a price, as in targeted advertising, the price disciplines the number of
impulse purchases but not the overspend within them, and it sharpens the incentive to target.
Media coverage:
Featured in an interview on
Tech Policy Press.
An Experimental Infrastructure for Ecologically Valid Studies of Online Advertising, Tracking, and Targeting
with Cristobal Cheyre, Li Jiang, Florian Schaub, Zijun Ding, Yucheng Li, and Alessandro Acquisti
This paper introduces an experimental methodology for studying the impacts of online
advertising, tracking, and targeting on users. The infrastructure deploys a client–server
architecture that enables randomized field experiments by assigning participants to
ad-blocking, anti-tracking, or full ad-exposure conditions, capturing rich longitudinal data
across browsers, email, and mobile devices while preserving ecological validity. By combining
fine-grained behavioral measures with repeated surveys, it provides a rigorous framework for
causal inference on consumer welfare, information-seeking behavior, and privacy in digital
advertising markets.